The tory downfall thread

[Retro]

It's looking increasingly like the tory nasty party are gonna lose the next general election in the autumn of this year, or May 2024.

It's this horrible party that's brought us such continuing austerity since 2010 and a cost of living crisis fuelled by their crappy brexit. Yes, there's covid and a war in Ukraine, but the effects on the UK economy wouldn't be half as bad if the tories and brexit hadn't happened to it and weakened it so much.

I've never hated the tories so much. Post stuff about their continuing downfall here and feel free to gloat! I'm especially glad that they finally pushed Boris Johnson out. He's gone from being pushed out of the Prime Minister role to not even being an MP in under a year. Result!

Here's a couple of articles showing the downward trend quite strongly.

Senior Tories fear mass exodus from parliament as dozens of MPs set to quit

Former ministers, veterans and newcomers to quit Commons after years of exhausting political chaos

uk.yahoo.com

Tories face biggest by-election defeat in British history in Nadine Dorries seat

The Conservatives are on course for the biggest by-election defeat in British history in Mid Bedfordshire, according to a poll that will cause panic among Tory MPs.

uk.yahoo.com

 

[Retro]

Tory wipeout - ah, couldn't happen to a nicer party.

Labour is currently on course to win a landslide victory on the scale of 1997, according to dramatic new modelling that points to the Conservatives losing every red wall seat secured at the last election.

The Tories could also lose more than 20 constituencies in its southern blue wall strongholds and achieve a record-low number of seats, according to a constituency-by-constituency model seen by the Observer. Deputy prime minister Oliver Dowden, defence secretary Grant Shapps and leadership contender Penny Mordaunt are among those facing defeat. Some 12 cabinet ministers face being unseated unless Rishi Sunak can close Labour’s poll lead.

According to the model’s central projection, which takes into account the new boundaries that the next election will be fought on, Labour would win 420 seats – equating to a landslide 190-seat majority. The Tories would take just 149 seats and the Lib Dems 23. The results mirror the 1997 landslide, when Tony Blair’s party secured a majority of 179 with 418 seats. The new analysis also suggests that the cost of living and the state of the NHS continue to be the clear priorities for voters.

Poll predicts landslide Labour election victory with 12 cabinet ministers losing their seats

Dramatic findings point to Conservatives losing every red wall seat that they secured at the last election

www.theguardian.com

 

[Retro]

The tories have just lost two by-elections!

Constituencies Tamworth at 20K previous tory majority and Mid Bedfordshire at 25K previous tory majority, fell to Labour, a fantastic result. This is a good indicator that Labour will win the General Election. Can't wait.

 

[Retro]

A landslide of landslides is now being predicted for Labour of 210 seats, wow.

I've noticed how Starmer isn't making any big promises. This is a shrewed move, because it's better to start people with low expectations and overdeliver, than the other way round, especially as they won't have the right wing pro tory media to cover for them should they fail like the tories have.

Of course, you don't wanna put so much of a downer that the population don't vote for you in the first place, so his massive lead in the polls really helps here as he's got more wiggle room to do this.

Can't wait for the tories to be pushed out. I'll be especially happy if Rees-Mogg is pushed out. He's one of the worst toffs I've ever seen, almost always coming out with something obnoxious.

Labour on course for landslide general election victory, new poll reveals

The Survation survey forecast that Keir Starmer will become prime minister with a Commons majority of 210.

uk.news.yahoo.com

 

[Retro]

Here's a cuttingly satirical anti-tory protest video you'll love. Please share it as much as possible and then visit the tactical voting site below to help rid us of this tory pox once and for all.

How To Vote To Stop The Tories

This site shows which way you should vote to prevent the Tories from getting into power again

tacticalvote.co.uk

Oh btw, it's NSFW. You have been warned...

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For more detailed information, see our cookies page.

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[Retro]

Another tory deposed, another nail in the coffin for the tory party at the general election.

One thing I'll say though, is if the allegations against Peter Bone are false, then it's really unfair on him, tory or not.

He's 71 and as with so many people of pension age, I don't get why they wanna keep working and especially in a high stress job like his rather than retiring and taking it easy.

Peter Bone MP loses seat as recall petition triggers by-election

A recall vote was held after the MP was suspended over bullying and sexual misconduct allegations.

www.bbc.co.uk

 

[Retro]

Another reason to hate the tories that little bit more. They also don't like people working from home. Such killjoys.

Ministers threaten to withhold cash from English councils on four-day week

As one local authority carries out trial, government plans to use ‘financial levers’ to stop practice

www.theguardian.com

 

[live627]

So when the next electon? Gonna even have one?

 

[Retro]

Well yes, they must have one by law. It will be sometime this year, they've not announced an exact date yet.

 

[Retro]

It looks like brexit really is gonna be the downfall of the tories, and about time, too.

A new mega poll suggests Brexit could be the key to winning over undecided voters heading into the next election.

Up to a million voters could be lured by a Labour government if it pledges to pursue closer ties with the European Union, the poll found.

Indeed, in all but one constituency in the UK, more voters said they wanted Keir Starmer to seek a closer UK-EU relationship.

And undecided voters – who will be crucial to victory in this year’s election – are even more critical of Brexit.

The poll, commissioned by campaign group Best for Britain, found most people feel the Government’s Brexit deal has increased the cost of their weekly shop, reduced the availability of goods and services, made the small boats crisis worse and stunted economic growth.

New poll shows Brexit could be the key to winning over undecided voters

Up to a million undecided voters believe Brexit has failed and want a Labour government to pursue closer ties to the EU, new polling shows.

www.thelondoneconomic.com

 

[Retro]

The Get Voting website will give advice on tactical voting to help defeat the tories. Bookmark this site now.

GetVoting

www.bestforbritain.org

 

[Retro]

Such a lot of truth in this meme:

 

[Retro]

Being of bad character a distinct advantage.

 

[Retro]

This doesn't bode well for a Labour win. So, despite everything the tories have done and their dismal poll ratings, they could still win the sodding election! Here's hoping it's not actually as bad as this.

The Labour Party would need a record swing in votes at the next general election to win a majority in the House of Commons, according to analysis of the new electoral map.

The next election will be fought on new constituency boundaries, redrawn to reflect population changes and to try to even out voter numbers in each area.

An analysis of these changes for BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association suggests Labour needs a national swing of 12.7% to win with just a small majority.

That's considerably higher than the 10.2% achieved by Tony Blair in 1997 and higher even than the 12% achieved by Clement Attlee in 1945.

The swing from the Conservatives to Labour would need to be uniform, to follow the same pattern everywhere, with other parties seeing no change in performance since 2019.

In practice, the picture will be more complicated, so this is a rough guide. But a uniform national swing has been a reliable model for general elections in the UK over a long period of time.

General election: Labour would need record swing to win

Analysis shows the effect of the new election boundaries. Use our tool to look up your constituency.

www.bbc.co.uk

 

[Retro]

Oh dear, the tories are so screwed.

Rishi Sunak's Conservatives are on course to win fewer than 100 seats in the general election, according to a major poll that suggests the party is facing the worst result in its history.

A survey of 15,000 people, used to build a seat-by-seat breakdown, indicated the Tories would win in just 98 constituencies in England and get wiped out in Scotland and Wales.

Labour's Sir Keir Starmer could be swept into power with a landslide victory of 468 seats, the study for Survation forecast.

The survey put Labour on 45%, with the Tories 19 points behind on 26%.

Tories could be left with 'fewer than 100' MPs after next general election, major poll suggests

Rishi Sunak's Conservatives are on course to win fewer than 100 seats in the general election, according to a major poll that suggests the party is facing the worst result in its history. A survey of 15,000 people, used to build a seat-by-seat breakdown, indicated the Tories would win in just...

uk.yahoo.com

 

[Retro]

Interesting to see from an American perspective how Sunak and the tories are now in free fall.

https://edition.cnn.com/2024/04/20/uk/rishi-sunak-conservatives-gbr-intl/index.html

 

[Retro]

John Curtice knows what he's talking about, so his opinions carry weight, like here.

The Conservatives are doomed to lose the election because voters will not forgive the behaviour of Boris Johnson and Liz Truss, according to Britain’s top pollster.

Professor Sir John Curtice said Mr Johnson’s No 10 lockdown parties and Ms Truss’s economic catastrophe have made it impossible for Rishi Sunak to cling on to power.

The prime minister threw away his only hope of mending the electoral damage caused by Mr Johnson and Ms Truss when he failed to condemn their conduct sufficiently strongly, said Prof Curtice.

Tories doomed at next election because of Boris Johnson and Liz Truss, says pollster John Curtice

John Curtice says Boris Johnson’s No 10 lockdown parties and Truss’s economic catastrophe have made it impossible for Rishi Sunak to cling on to power

uk.news.yahoo.com

 

[Retro]

This is so apt for Liz Truss:

 

[Retro]

Only a few results in so far for the local elections, but the tories are already getting hammered.

BBC coverage here: https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-68609729

 

[Retro]

I do wonder if it's possible that Natalie Elphicke's defection to Labour might actually be a dirty tricks ruse to undermine Labour in the run-up to the general election this year. This article doesn't suggest this, but from everything I've read about her defection, I do get that feeling and this article only makes that feeling stronger. Have a read and see what you think.

Keir Starmer is under fresh pressure over the former Tory MP Natalie Elphicke’s defection to Labour after the president of the Trades Union Congress said her vocal support for anti-strike laws should be “incompatible” with the party whip.

Matt Wrack, who is also the general secretary of the Labour-affiliated Fire Brigades Union, has described the MP for Dover and Deal’s views as “disgraceful” after she used a parliamentary intervention in March to blame firefighters for the deaths of three people who perished during a national strike.

Natalie Elphicke’s anti-strike stance ‘incompatible’ with Labour, says TUC president

Exclusive: Matt Wrack describes ex-Tory’s views as ‘disgraceful’ after she blamed deaths on striking firefighters

www.theguardian.com

 

[Retro]

So, Sunak announced a 4th July general election the other day, which can't come soon enough. This story should help create some more bad PR against them at this crucial time for them.

If anyone needs any further examples of the kinds of harm that this tory government are inflicting on ordinary people for no good reason, have a read of this story where the Home Office are trying to deport a 13 month old baby over a paperwork technicality. Simply unbelievable.

A father whose British-born baby is being threatened with removal from the UK is urging the Home Office to be flexible with how it enforces rules on visas.

Massah, who is 13 months old, was born in the Midlands in April last year. Both her parents have been living legally in Britain since 2021 when her father came to study for a PhD from Jordan and her mother came as his dependant.

The threat to remove Massah comes after the family took a holiday abroad together in January.

Because Massah's status wasn't confirmed before the family left the country for the first time together, she technically re-entered the UK as a tourist and officials refuse to recognise the discrepancy.

One-year-old Massah was born in UK - now she's being ordered to leave to 'maintain integrity of immigration laws'

A father whose British-born baby is being threatened with removal from the UK is urging the Home Office to be flexible with how it enforces rules on visas. Massah, who is 13 months old, was born in the Midlands in April last year. Both her parents have been living legally in Britain since 2021...

uk.yahoo.com

 

[RebeccaPhu]

The most eagerly anticipated election for years. But I do wonder if Keir "we're the real conservatives" Starmer will be that much of a difference.

Perhaps shambolic by accident rather than intention.

 

[Retro]

That's a good question and only time will tell. However, the tories must be punished for foisting brexit on us and we don't stand a chance of rejoining if they remain in power.

 

[Retro]

If ever there was an election vote loser it's Sunak's conscription pledge! I mean, who in their right mind is gonna vote for being forced to do something?! Especially against something like fixing the NHS, or lower taxes, etc? Long may he stick to this barmy idea and go down in flames for it. And of course, if it was implemented, it would be extremely expensive and hamstring the military, so it's being accused of being unfunded too, by Labour.

This pledge is so ridiculous, that it sounds like an April Fools joke.

Sunak promises to bring back national service for 18-year-olds

Labour lambasts youth policy as ‘desperate and unfunded’ and designed to make youngsters fix government-created problems

www.theguardian.com

And this comment is hardly surprising:

Rishi Sunak’s national service pledge is ‘bonkers’, says ex-military chief

Criticism of proposed scheme comes as another blow to the party’s struggling election campaign

www.theguardian.com

 

[Retro]

Michael Heseltine speaks the truth here about brexit, as always. He's not afraid to say what needs to be said, unlike all the other mainstream politicians.

The election campaign will be the “most dishonest in modern times” because both parties refuse to debate the consequences of Brexit, a former Tory deputy prime minister has said.

Michael Heseltine, who was deputy prime minister from 1995 to 1997 and a senior figure in Margaret Thatcher’s cabinet, said no key problem affecting the country can be “honestly addressed” without considering the impact of leaving the EU.

Writing in the Independent, Lord Heseltine said: “We are now at the start of what I foresee will be the most dishonest election of modern times.

“The state of our economy, defence and environment, the need to level up our society, control immigration and restore Britain’s standing in the world. None of these issues can be honestly addressed in isolation from our relationship with Europe. Yet Europe is the no-go area,” said Heseltine, who fell out with the Conservative party during the run-up to the Brexit referendum because he wanted to remain in the European Union."

Ignoring Brexit will make election most dishonest in modern times – Heseltine

Former deputy prime minister says discussion of Europe ‘no-go area’ for Labour and Conservatives

www.theguardian.com