The tory downfall thread

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It's looking increasingly like the tory nasty party are gonna lose the next general election in the autumn of this year, or May 2024.

It's this horrible party that's brought us such continuing austerity since 2010 and a cost of living crisis fuelled by their crappy brexit. Yes, there's covid and a war in Ukraine, but the effects on the UK economy wouldn't be half as bad if the tories and brexit hadn't happened to it and weakened it so much.

I've never hated the tories so much. Post stuff about their continuing downfall here and feel free to gloat! I'm especially glad that they finally pushed Boris Johnson out. He's gone from being pushed out of the Prime Minister role to not even being an MP in under a year. Result! :ROFLMAO::ROFLMAO:

Here's a couple of articles showing the downward trend quite strongly.


 

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Tory wipeout - ah, couldn't happen to a nicer party. ❤️

Labour is currently on course to win a landslide victory on the scale of 1997, according to dramatic new modelling that points to the Conservatives losing every red wall seat secured at the last election.

The Tories could also lose more than 20 constituencies in its southern blue wall strongholds and achieve a record-low number of seats, according to a constituency-by-constituency model seen by the Observer. Deputy prime minister Oliver Dowden, defence secretary Grant Shapps and leadership contender Penny Mordaunt are among those facing defeat. Some 12 cabinet ministers face being unseated unless Rishi Sunak can close Labour’s poll lead.

According to the model’s central projection, which takes into account the new boundaries that the next election will be fought on, Labour would win 420 seats – equating to a landslide 190-seat majority. The Tories would take just 149 seats and the Lib Dems 23. The results mirror the 1997 landslide, when Tony Blair’s party secured a majority of 179 with 418 seats. The new analysis also suggests that the cost of living and the state of the NHS continue to be the clear priorities for voters.

 

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The tories have just lost two by-elections!

Constituencies Tamworth at 20K previous tory majority and Mid Bedfordshire at 25K previous tory majority, fell to Labour, a fantastic result. This is a good indicator that Labour will win the General Election. Can't wait.
 

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A landslide of landslides is now being predicted for Labour of 210 seats, wow.

I've noticed how Starmer isn't making any big promises. This is a shrewed move, because it's better to start people with low expectations and overdeliver, than the other way round, especially as they won't have the right wing pro tory media to cover for them should they fail like the tories have.

Of course, you don't wanna put so much of a downer that the population don't vote for you in the first place, so his massive lead in the polls really helps here as he's got more wiggle room to do this.

Can't wait for the tories to be pushed out. I'll be especially happy if Rees-Mogg is pushed out. He's one of the worst toffs I've ever seen, almost always coming out with something obnoxious.

 

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Here's a cuttingly satirical anti-tory protest video you'll love. Please share it as much as possible and then visit the tactical voting site below to help rid us of this tory pox once and for all.


Oh btw, it's NSFW. You have been warned...
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Another tory deposed, another nail in the coffin for the tory party at the general election.

One thing I'll say though, is if the allegations against Peter Bone are false, then it's really unfair on him, tory or not.

He's 71 and as with so many people of pension age, I don't get why they wanna keep working and especially in a high stress job like his rather than retiring and taking it easy.

 

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Well yes, they must have one by law. It will be sometime this year, they've not announced an exact date yet.
 

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It looks like brexit really is gonna be the downfall of the tories, and about time, too.

A new mega poll suggests Brexit could be the key to winning over undecided voters heading into the next election.

Up to a million voters could be lured by a Labour government if it pledges to pursue closer ties with the European Union, the poll found.

Indeed, in all but one constituency in the UK, more voters said they wanted Keir Starmer to seek a closer UK-EU relationship.

And undecided voters – who will be crucial to victory in this year’s election – are even more critical of Brexit.

The poll, commissioned by campaign group Best for Britain, found most people feel the Government’s Brexit deal has increased the cost of their weekly shop, reduced the availability of goods and services, made the small boats crisis worse and stunted economic growth.

 

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The Get Voting website will give advice on tactical voting to help defeat the tories. Bookmark this site now.

 

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This doesn't bode well for a Labour win. So, despite everything the tories have done and their dismal poll ratings, they could still win the sodding election! :mad: Here's hoping it's not actually as bad as this.

The Labour Party would need a record swing in votes at the next general election to win a majority in the House of Commons, according to analysis of the new electoral map.

The next election will be fought on new constituency boundaries, redrawn to reflect population changes and to try to even out voter numbers in each area.

An analysis of these changes for BBC News, ITV News, Sky News and the Press Association suggests Labour needs a national swing of 12.7% to win with just a small majority.

That's considerably higher than the 10.2% achieved by Tony Blair in 1997 and higher even than the 12% achieved by Clement Attlee in 1945.

The swing from the Conservatives to Labour would need to be uniform, to follow the same pattern everywhere, with other parties seeing no change in performance since 2019.

In practice, the picture will be more complicated, so this is a rough guide. But a uniform national swing has been a reliable model for general elections in the UK over a long period of time.

 

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Oh dear, the tories are so screwed.

Rishi Sunak's Conservatives are on course to win fewer than 100 seats in the general election, according to a major poll that suggests the party is facing the worst result in its history.

A survey of 15,000 people, used to build a seat-by-seat breakdown, indicated the Tories would win in just 98 constituencies in England and get wiped out in Scotland and Wales.

Labour's Sir Keir Starmer could be swept into power with a landslide victory of 468 seats, the study for Survation forecast.

The survey put Labour on 45%, with the Tories 19 points behind on 26%.

 

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John Curtice knows what he's talking about, so his opinions carry weight, like here.

The Conservatives are doomed to lose the election because voters will not forgive the behaviour of Boris Johnson and Liz Truss, according to Britain’s top pollster.

Professor Sir John Curtice said Mr Johnson’s No 10 lockdown parties and Ms Truss’s economic catastrophe have made it impossible for Rishi Sunak to cling on to power.

The prime minister threw away his only hope of mending the electoral damage caused by Mr Johnson and Ms Truss when he failed to condemn their conduct sufficiently strongly, said Prof Curtice.

 

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I do wonder if it's possible that Natalie Elphicke's defection to Labour might actually be a dirty tricks ruse to undermine Labour in the run-up to the general election this year. This article doesn't suggest this, but from everything I've read about her defection, I do get that feeling and this article only makes that feeling stronger. Have a read and see what you think.

Keir Starmer is under fresh pressure over the former Tory MP Natalie Elphicke’s defection to Labour after the president of the Trades Union Congress said her vocal support for anti-strike laws should be “incompatible” with the party whip.

Matt Wrack, who is also the general secretary of the Labour-affiliated Fire Brigades Union, has described the MP for Dover and Deal’s views as “disgraceful” after she used a parliamentary intervention in March to blame firefighters for the deaths of three people who perished during a national strike.

 
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